Thursday, 23 February 2012

Electric vans - does the £8000 grant make them a good buy?


The UK government has just announced grants of up to £8000 to support sales of electric vans.  Will the take-up on these be better than the take-up of electric cars?  Arguably yes.  Businesses tend to make decisions based solely on economic criteria, and the economics support the purchase of an electric van under the right circumstances.  However, the truth is that very few firms would currently benefit from buying an electric van.  This is because of current technical constraints – they won’t last forever, but they will dent the growth prospects of EV vans in the short term.

Range: who will be able to use an EV van?
The first question everyone asks about electric vehicles is range.  Take for example the Renault Kangoo ZE, with a range of 106 miles.  Assuming no power infrastructure, that gives a return range of 53 miles, the distance from Bristol to the M50 junction with the M5.  At the moment, the UK network of EV charging points is underdeveloped, although Ecotricity is working on this.  The Ecotricity charge points are currently slow (6-8 hours for a full charge on a Renault Kangoo van), making their use for commercial transport impractical.

This means that at present, electric vans are only suitable for businesses that mainly serve their local area, or which have a fleet of more than one van, where at least one (electric van) could be dedicated to local service.

The typical charging time means these vans are also mainly going to be used only by firms that need the van intermittently, rather than driving all day.  For all day driving one would need either several vans, or a fast charge point, and while the prices of these are coming down they are still prohibitively expensive.

Running cost: who will gain financially?
Even at today’s high electricity price levels, running an EV is cheap compared to either diesel or petrol – about one fifth the cost.  On the other hand, the van itself is more expensive.  How many miles would you need to do to make the EV worthwhile?

This depends on your firm’s economic circumstances, of course, because the cost needs to be paid up front, while the savings will come over a number of years.  Let’s compare two firms – one drives about 115 miles per week, or 6000 miles per year, using the van for only about ¾ of an hour each weekday.  The other firm does 15K miles per year, or about 288 miles per week, using the van for nearly 2 hours per day on average.

First, the lower-mileage firm:
Kangoo EV
Kangoo diesel
Difference
Price after subsidy
13,592
8,950
-4,642
Miles per gallon
54
KwH / mile
0.21
Battery lease £/month
 60
cost per mile
 0.02
0.11
miles per year
6,000
6,000
Road tax

115
Running cost per year
844
788
-56

In other words, for the low mileage firm it’s actually more expensive to run the electric van, even before we look at the up front cost.

Now let’s look at the higher mileage firm:
Kangoo EV
Kangoo diesel
Difference
Price after subsidy
13,592
8,950
-4,642
Miles per gallon
54
KwH / mile
 0.21
Battery lease £/month
 105
cost per mile
0.02
 0.11
miles per year
 15,000
15,000
Road tax
-
 115
Running cost per year
1,570
 1,798
 228

Unlike the other firm, this one gets an annual saving from driving the electric van, but the payback time is only about 20 years.  This means that even for the high mileage firm, which generates the most savings from driving, the electric van is still not currently worthwhile.

So will anyone benefit from buying an electric van?
There are some additional considerations on the financial side.  First, a central London-based firm will save on the congestion charge, which could mean that the choice to go electric pays for itself in a couple of years.  A firm with just one van delivering every weekday for 50 weeks of the year would save £2600.  Combined with the good EV charging network in London, this makes EV vans an excellent choice for firms that deliver within the London congestion charge zone.

Another consideration is the capital allowance – firms can claim 100% of the van’s cost in the first year.  Of course, SMEs with low capital spend may be able to do this anyway.  Whether this benefits your firm depends entirely on your circumstances.

Last but not least is the marketing benefit of driving a green vehicle.  Whether your customers are private sector bodies, socially conscious urbanites, or commercial firms looking to green their supply chain, driving an electric van can send out a useful marketing message.  It is difficult to quantify this but plenty of firms will no doubt use this argument to tip an uncertain financial decision in favour of the electric van.

Does this mean electric vans will never dominate?
No.  Many of the drawbacks depend on things that will change.  Range will improve.  The differential between electricity and petrol / diesel prices may widen.  EV charging will get faster, cheaper, and more ubiquitous.  So the economics of electric vans will change, and they will undoubtedly change for the better.  Of course, by that time there may be hydrogen powered vans competing for our business buck, but that blog entry will have to wait until 2015. 

Friday, 10 February 2012

Are companies that actively manage their environmental impacts worth more?


Waste heat is invisible to the naked eye but costly.
In short – yes.  They’re worth more money than those that don’t.  Regardless of your feelings about the environment, as long as you care about money, then you should be more willing to invest it in a firm that manages its impacts.

Some of you will say that of course, that’s because such companies know about regulations and meet them, so they face lower risk of fines or emergency costs.  That is certainly true, but it is not the main reason such companies are worth more.  Even without any fines or emergencies, those companies are likely to grow faster than their peers.

This is the finding of a recent piece of research from academics at the University of California.  They don’t look at why this would be so, but they do demonstrate that it works.  Companies that disclose their emissions aren’t just being “good citizens”, they’re also doing smart business.

In fact, there are two likely reasons for this – and both point to a conclusion that managing your environmental impacts will boost the value of your business. 

First, the group is self-selecting.  Those that benefit from reporting will do so.  That means the reports will almost always come from those companies that a) measure their impacts already, so there’s little extra cost in reporting, and that also b) will suffer no great embarrassment – in particular, it will be those for whom impacts are falling, or rising slower than the business as a whole is growing.

Second, the old saying “what gets measured, gets managed” is true, and this is especially true for cost areas like energy and materials.  Business leaders hate seeing cost per unit of output go up, because it means that they either need to accept less profit or charge more money.  When impacts are reported, they are usually directly connected to the use of resources – for example Greenhouse Gas Emissions relate to the use of fuel and power.  If the measures of consumption per unit of output go down, it’s good news – but no one will be working hard on the process of making that happen if there is no one measuring the result.

Should your firm report its emissions, or other environmental impacts?  My view is that this is the wrong question.  Yes, the research showed that this was associated with growth and value, but in my view it is not the reporting itself that generated this – it is the act of measuring impacts and thinking about cost-effectiveness that led to these firms outperforming the markets.  Because they were in a position to manage their costs down, they thrived.  Companies that measure their impacts will manage them better.  Managing impacts drives company value.  The reporting was just a signal to the market.

Would you like to explore how managing your firm's impacts could boost your growth and increase value?  Contact Julia at julia@jlsbm.co.uk, or (07766) 333864.

Wednesday, 25 January 2012

How much energy can your company save?


Lights are often left burning in offices at night.  Photo: caribb

With no end in sight to our tight economic times, companies are redoubling their efforts to reduce costs.  The continued high cost of energy makes this a favourite area to target.  Just how much can a company actually save on its energy bills?

Savings from equipment
Anything that uses power – electricity or process heat – should be your number one priority.  Lighting uses about 40% of a building’s power and is a top target, with savings of 40-70% of lighting energy within reach.  The Carbon Trust estimates that investing in better lighting equipment can reduce electricity consumption by 20%.  Motors and drives are another area with great potential for savings – up to 60% according to ABB – and payback periods are usually very quick for switching to variable speed drives.

Virtually all machines have potential for improvement, either through replacement of less efficient technology, or introduction of controls to make the best use of the technology you have.

Savings from buildings
Buildings are great wasters of energy.  The principle problems come from heating and cooling.  Older building stock often suffers from inadequate insulation – the standards and practices set in the past were based on lower energy costs.  Even newer buildings designed with high energy efficiency in mind may not perform as expected if commissioning was rushed, or if building use differs from what was initially envisaged.

Savings from waste
Waste costs far more than most firms realise.  The cost of disposal is a tiny fraction of the true cost of waste.  Consider the cost of producing that waste in the first place – not just materials but also the labour and facilities time.  Even worse is the waste that slips past quality controls and isn’t identified as waste until it reaches a dissatisfied customer.

Figures on waste vary dramatically, but most firms waste considerably more than they realise.  In the food industry it totals around 30% of production – in developing countries most is lost at harvest and storage, and in the developed world it is lost most through consumers and distribution.

Much waste is actually visible to employees, but often considered unimportant, or impossible to eliminate.  The source of these attitudes is often in a failure to realise just how much waste costs.  Also, it is difficult to tackle waste that is unintentionally designed in to agreed processes and systems.

Savings from behaviour change
How often have you passed an empty office building at night and seen all the lights blazing?  For those of you who have worked in production facilities, how many times have you seen refrigeration unit doors left open, or machines left idling between shifts?  In the service industry, have you ever seen an open plan office where all the computers and printers were shut off at night?  Who has seen windows opened because the air conditioning or heating was set too high?

We need control over the equipment that serves us, but often in the rush of work people make choices that waste energy.  Replacing equipment may mean that the waste is reduced, and in some cases controls can help, but an even better solution is to eliminate this waste altogether – and without capital cost – by changing behaviour.  Of course this is no easy task – but there are approaches to educating and motivating the people that really work.

How do you know how much you can save?
There are three essential steps in estimating how much you can save.  First, you must footprint your firm – find out how much energy you use, in what forms, when, and for what purpose.  This takes time to set up, but it is well worth it in terms of the savings it prepares you for.

Second, you need to estimate the potential to change each area of energy consumption.  This can be done at a high level, through benchmarking and similar comparative exercises, or at a more granular level by looking at technology alternatives or proportions of energy wasted.

Third, you need to pull together this analysis to show the big areas of energy spend, and the top areas of potential improvement.  Bring together the key people from across your organisation to examine the results.  Chances are that any area of potential savings is going to involve many departments – this is one of the reasons energy efficiency opportunities are often not spotted.

If you need help with any of this, please contact us: enquiries@jlsbm.co.uk.  We offer unbiased advice and expert consultative assistance to UK firms.

Monday, 12 December 2011

Durban makes adaptation a priority for business

The Durban Platform agreement on climate change has been welcomed, if only because expectations were so low.  Of course, it is just an agreement to agree something by 2015, and to do whatever is agreed by 2020.  But is this just a bit of political positioning, or does it hold important messages for businesses in the UK?
Floods in Thailand wreaked havoc on supply chains

Durban is an important “heads up” for businesses all over the world.  Some countries not previously committed to emissions reductions under Kyoto have now said they will definitely agree something in the next few years – including China, the world’sbiggest emitter.  For energy-intensive businesses competing head on with companies in developing countries, this may be good news.   For those firms in countries that will now have to commit, it may sound worrying.  However reducing energy intensity is good business – and because the change is some way off, those companies have an excellent opportunity to invest thoughtfully now, save money, and be ready for 2020.

In Europe, emissions are already regulated, and governments are using grants, taxes, and other powers to encourage industries to become more efficient.  Does this mean that there will be no particular change for firms in the UK and on the continent?

The biggest news for companies here (and big-ish news for firms everywhere) is that global emissions are likely to keep rising for some time.  A view from a growing number of experts suggests that this means we might face a narrower set of options by 2020: either to cut emissions much more dramatically than if we started now, and at enormous cost, or to risk temperature increases of greater than 2C.

On the assumption that the world will not opt for dramatic, extremely expensive emissions cuts, firms face an imperative to work now on adaptation, even though the exact impacts of 2C+ warming, and their timings, are still uncertain.  There are a number of tactics companies will be pursuing to mitigate the risk of more frequent extreme weather events and their impacts.  For example, some will relocate facilities away from areas at risk of floods and hurricanes.  Others may invest further in back-up solutions to deal with everything from power failures, to transport shut-downs, to extensive supply chain disruptions.

If your firm has an emergency planning process, now is the time to make sure it covers all the predicted impacts of climate change for your region, with an understanding of the potential severity and likely timescales involved.  If you have no such process, it is more urgent than ever that you get started.  Adaptation to an environment of growing risks is now a clear priority for business.


Friday, 25 November 2011

Which retailers are most efficient?


Retailers are under considerable margin pressure, so you would expect them to take any measures possible to reduce cost.  Much work has focussed on labour productivity, or getting more sales per staff person, for example by introducing self-checkout.  However there is still much to be done on resource productivity.

A recent data set on leading retailers’ greenhouse gas emissions, sales, and employee numbers shows a wide variation in labour productivity and sustainability.  Interestingly, the most labour efficient retailers are also the most emissions efficient – no company is just “green” or solely focussed on automation or scale.

CVS (a pharmacy retailer) and Costco (a warehouse club) exceed their peers on both measures, but amongst the others there are some interesting differences.  Walmart and Tesco do not achieve the labour productivity of Kroger (a leading US supermarket), but both are significantly more efficient on greenhouse gas emissions.  This is probably no accident – both Walmart and Tesco have made bigger commitments to reducing emissions.  
Tesco aimed to reduce energy use by 50% from 2000 to 2010, versus Kroger’s target of a 30% reduction over the same period.  Walmart gave themselves just 4 years to achieve a 30% reduction (from 2005-2009), and they aspire to supply their stores with 100% renewable energy.

There are big savings for retailers who make efficiency their priority.  Improved lighting systems, daylighting, energy controls, heat recovery, behavioural change, and many other approaches can reduce costs significantly, often with a 2-3 year payback period.  For any firm in the retail sector, sustainability in terms of a reduced carbon footprint should have a leading role in their effort to thrive in these challenging times.

Friday, 7 October 2011

Why your waste costs 20 times more than you think


Waste disposal costs are rising.  Heightened attention is being turned to dealing with it cost-effectively, diverting it from landfill and getting the best possible income stream from recycling or re-using it.  This attention to waste is a good thing.  We want to reduce the cost of it, to make our businesses more competitive.  However the truth is that most managers are missing 95% of the cost of their waste.  If your facility’s waste costs were 20 times higher than you thought, what action would you take?

The answer is obvious – you would stop trying to maximise the recycling and re-use value of your waste stream.  Instead, you’d try to stop producing it in the first place.

Let’s look at a hypothetical manufacturing company[i].  Imagine a firm that produces high quality ready meals.  Our firm has operating costs of £50 million a year, and runs two shifts a day.  They produce 500 tonnes of waste per year, and it costs them £100 per tonne to dispose of it (fees and handling costs).  So this firm believes that its cost of waste is £50,000 per year.  This is significant enough to get attention, but at just 0.1% of total cost, it is not the highest priority.

Now, imagine that each day, an average of 10 minutes of each 8-hour shift produces waste.  This takes two main forms: 
  • Occasional quality failures (e.g. too little product in one tub, or a run with wrong dates)
  • Planned waste, while a new run is started, and the machines are adjusted to get the machines aligned perfectly

So for an average of 20 minutes per day (10 minutes for each of two shifts), the facility is producing waste.  That’s roughly 2% of a 16 hour day.  In other words, 2% of the operational time, and therefore 2% of the operational cost (electricity, people, facilities costs, materials, etc) is waste.  In a facility that costs £50 million per year to run, that’s a cost of £1 million, spent on producing product that will never be sold.

This is just a hypothetical example.  Is it typical?  In fact, this is close to the average for the UK economy as a whole.  As I’ve reported elsewhere, DEFRA estimates there are £23 billion of resource efficiency savings with a year payback or less, just waiting for firms to take advantage of them – about 1.6% of GDP.

A million pounds of a £50 million budget is a substantial sum – it could be better spent holding off the next round of unwanted redundancies, investing in new capital equipment, or developing new products.  If this were your firm, wouldn’t you do whatever you could to stop the waste?

So... just how much of your operational time each day is spent producing waste?


[i] This could apply just as well to a service company.  For example, in a call centre, it might include outbound calls to wrong numbers, and times when the computers or phone lines are down.

Tuesday, 4 October 2011

Do more with less – and save £23 billion


That, at least, is the conclusion of a DEFRA study published in March.  It found that for very little cost, UK businesses could produce just as much as they do today, while saving £23 billion in costs.

Given our current economic troubles, it is surprising that this hasn’t been headline news.  The topic is called “resource efficiency.”  The UK government has been trying to encourage firms to improve their resource efficiency by providing advice and grants, and even the European Commission has urged firms on, claiming that “Increasing resource efficiency will be key to securing growth and jobs”.

These claims are entirely realistic.  There are multitudes of case studies available through government agencies and in business school texts, and of course many cases have never been documented.  Just tackling the production of waste products alone – without considering any other efficiency savings – could produce big savings to the bottom line.

The fact is that the funding interventions from the government have so far been very small – less than £100 million per year of the Business Resource Efficiency and Waste scheme.  However, they indicate big potential – every £1 spent by the government achieved an average £1.64 in additional sales and £3.20 in cost savings – and those are the benefits in just one year.  Unfortunately, the budgets for this work are now being cut.

As the ENDS Report has observed, “government will have to depend on businesses stepping up their own efforts independently, without relying on public funds for advice and support.”  Increasing landfill taxes are meant to encourage firms to address their inefficiencies, but waste handling costs represent only a tiny fraction of the true cost of waste.  Moreover, there are many more inefficiencies that have nothing to do with the waste stream.

When so many companies have tackled their waste stream, why have so few put the same energy into efficiencies – that is, into not producing the waste in the first place?  It’s often no one’s job – we assume our employees will identify and eliminate waste if they can, but no one is tasked or measured on this.  And why not?  Well – since the cost of producing waste, or working inefficiently, is almost never measured, those in charge don’t realise it deserves an explicit place in their management structure.

For those companies that grasp the opportunities in resource efficiency, the prize will be higher profits, greater security, and growth.  The government will no longer take the lead, though it is a wonder that it was ever necessary.  Given the size of the prize, it is time more firms put resource efficiency on the CEO’s agenda.