The UK government has just announced grants of up to £8000 to
support sales of electric vans. Will the
take-up on these be better than the take-up of electric cars? Arguably yes.
Businesses tend to make decisions based solely on economic
criteria, and the economics support the purchase of an electric van under the
right circumstances. However, the truth is that very few
firms would currently benefit from buying an electric van. This is because of current technical
constraints – they won’t last forever, but they will dent the growth prospects
of EV vans in the short term.
Range: who will be
able to use an EV van?
The first question everyone asks about electric vehicles is
range. Take for example the Renault
Kangoo ZE, with a range of 106 miles. Assuming
no power infrastructure, that gives a return range of 53 miles, the distance
from Bristol to the M50 junction with the M5.
At the moment, the UK network of EV charging points is underdeveloped,
although Ecotricity is working on this. The Ecotricity charge points are currently
slow (6-8 hours for a full charge on a Renault Kangoo van), making their use
for commercial transport impractical.
This means that at present, electric vans are only suitable for
businesses that mainly serve their local area, or which have a fleet of more
than one van, where at least one (electric van) could be dedicated to local
service.
The typical charging time means these vans are also mainly
going to be used only by firms that need the van intermittently, rather than
driving all day. For all day driving one
would need either several vans, or a fast charge point, and while the prices of
these are coming down they are still prohibitively expensive.
Running cost: who
will gain financially?
Even at today’s high electricity price levels, running an EV
is cheap compared to either diesel or petrol – about one fifth the cost. On the other hand, the van itself is more
expensive. How many miles would you need
to do to make the EV worthwhile?
This depends on your firm’s economic circumstances, of course,
because the cost needs to be paid up front, while the savings will come over a
number of years. Let’s compare two firms
– one drives about 115 miles per week, or 6000 miles per year, using the van
for only about ¾ of an hour each weekday.
The other firm does 15K miles per year, or about 288 miles per week,
using the van for nearly 2 hours per day on average.
First, the lower-mileage firm:
Kangoo
EV
|
Kangoo
diesel
|
Difference
|
|
Price
after subsidy
|
13,592
|
8,950
|
-4,642
|
Miles per gallon
|
54
|
||
KwH / mile
|
0.21
|
||
Battery lease £/month
|
60
|
||
cost per mile
|
0.02
|
0.11
|
|
miles
per year
|
6,000
|
6,000
|
|
Road tax
|
|
115
|
|
Running
cost per year
|
844
|
788
|
-56
|
In other words, for the low mileage firm it’s actually more expensive to run the electric van, even before we look at the up front cost.
Now let’s look at the higher mileage firm:
Kangoo EV
|
Kangoo diesel
|
Difference
|
|
Price after subsidy
|
13,592
|
8,950
|
-4,642
|
Miles per gallon
|
54
|
||
KwH / mile
|
0.21
|
||
Battery lease £/month
|
105
|
||
cost per mile
|
0.02
|
0.11
|
|
miles per year
|
15,000
|
15,000
|
|
Road tax
|
-
|
115
|
|
Running cost per year
|
1,570
|
1,798
|
228
|
Unlike the other firm, this one gets an annual saving from driving
the electric van, but the payback time is only about 20 years. This means that even for the high mileage
firm, which generates the most savings from driving, the electric van is
still not currently worthwhile.
So will anyone
benefit from buying an electric van?
There are some additional considerations on the financial
side. First, a central London-based firm will save
on the congestion charge, which could mean that the choice to go electric pays for itself in a
couple of years. A firm with just one
van delivering every weekday for 50 weeks of the year would save £2600. Combined with the good EV charging network in
London, this makes EV vans an excellent choice for firms that deliver within the London congestion charge zone.
Another consideration is the capital allowance – firms can
claim 100% of the van’s cost in the first year.
Of course, SMEs with low capital spend may be able to do this
anyway. Whether this benefits your firm
depends entirely on your circumstances.
Last but not least is the marketing benefit of driving a
green vehicle. Whether your customers
are private sector bodies, socially conscious urbanites, or commercial firms
looking to green their supply chain, driving an electric van can send out a
useful marketing message. It is
difficult to quantify this but plenty of firms will no doubt use this argument
to tip an uncertain financial decision in favour of the electric van.
Does this mean electric vans will never dominate?
No. Many of the drawbacks depend on things that will change. Range will improve. The differential between electricity and petrol / diesel prices may widen. EV charging will get faster, cheaper, and more ubiquitous. So the economics of electric vans will change, and they will undoubtedly change for the better. Of course, by that time there may be hydrogen powered vans competing for our business buck, but that blog entry will have to wait until 2015.